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Apr 6, 2013
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if it's war is not kim kim jongs end game, what's he want? what's the likelihood of a conflict happening, considering the tensions are high and there is a lot of posturing, political and otherwise, military involved here? >> i think the likelihood of another deadly provocation on the part of north korea is actually quite high. maybe not at this time because they never strike when our readiness is high. our readiness is high right now because we have these joint south korea-u.s. military exercises. when they conclude at the end of this month and when our readiness falls back to normal and when we're not looking, that's when the north koreans typically strike. so maybe sometime this summer. maybe sometime this fall. i think the north koreans will do that because as you said, kim jong-un has painted himself into a corner. he's got an increasingly fragile regime. no north korean leader has had a smaller base of support than he has had since 1949. that's one year after the founding of the north korea. so this is a dangerous situation. that's why t
if it's war is not kim kim jongs end game, what's he want? what's the likelihood of a conflict happening, considering the tensions are high and there is a lot of posturing, political and otherwise, military involved here? >> i think the likelihood of another deadly provocation on the part of north korea is actually quite high. maybe not at this time because they never strike when our readiness is high. our readiness is high right now because we have these joint south korea-u.s. military...
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Mar 30, 2013
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at no time had he had a smaller basis of support that kim jong-un today. all of the threats he's backing himself in a corner and doesn't know the consequences of what he's doing and the window for violence is open. >> talk about the timing of the threat. what do you sigh as being significant at this point? >> north korea always makes threats before the south korea and will united states do the joint drills and they did it this year. but most of the time north korea goes silent and this time the warnings are more dire and intense and that means something is different this year than previous years. we need to have a vigilant posture. >> do you think that the young leader is trying to create an aura among his people that he is in charge and he is not his father? >> i totally agree with that. but the problem is, he may not know where the line s. kim jong-il used murdered effect itchly and murdered a number ever americans and south koreas but hoo got away with it kim jong-un has to make himself appear better than his dad and he may miscal cuate. he don't know a
at no time had he had a smaller basis of support that kim jong-un today. all of the threats he's backing himself in a corner and doesn't know the consequences of what he's doing and the window for violence is open. >> talk about the timing of the threat. what do you sigh as being significant at this point? >> north korea always makes threats before the south korea and will united states do the joint drills and they did it this year. but most of the time north korea goes silent and...
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Mar 30, 2013
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as you pointed out, when kim jong-il emphasized the military over the party. this is important for a new north korean leader. this is the second time you have a succession in the kim family the first time this has happened in a communist regime. checking the box and pressing the military and this is typical behavior for dictators. if you create an external threat it distracts people from the horrible job they are doing as far as a government. >> gregg: they have not perfected their weapon to put them on a long range delivery system to hit the united states. what about 30,000 american troops in neighboring south korea? >> they are vulnerable as in the u.s. territory of guam and japanese allies. there is a tendency in the state department when i was there and throughout allied foreign ministries and even defense ministries to chuckle at north korea and its ambitions. but it had a minor nuclear test in 2006 and last better, three kilotons and recently up to 7 kilotons which is half the power of hiroshima and same progress on long-range missiles. they have success
as you pointed out, when kim jong-il emphasized the military over the party. this is important for a new north korean leader. this is the second time you have a succession in the kim family the first time this has happened in a communist regime. checking the box and pressing the military and this is typical behavior for dictators. if you create an external threat it distracts people from the horrible job they are doing as far as a government. >> gregg: they have not perfected their weapon...
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Apr 6, 2013
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let's talk about kim jong-un of course the leader of north korea. he's only 30 years of age. is he doing this all of this on his own or listening to hardliners within his regime? >> it's an important question and we don't have a good answer to it. it may be that kim is the, you know, the third in a line of hereditary communist dictators, that's a unique situation in the world in and of itself, maybe he's in charge of north korea. it may be that he's simply a figure head and the military is in charge or it could be a hundred different variations of that in between. that's one of the reasons why it's so difficult to understand exactly what their logic is, because their leadership structure is not transparent and we really don't know the balance of power within it. one would have to say that it looks like a year into office this could be an effort to try and prove himself and that's why, for example, launching these missiles that we've just heard described, is being prepared for launching, could be a way of showing his determination to withstand pressure from the outside. and yo
let's talk about kim jong-un of course the leader of north korea. he's only 30 years of age. is he doing this all of this on his own or listening to hardliners within his regime? >> it's an important question and we don't have a good answer to it. it may be that kim is the, you know, the third in a line of hereditary communist dictators, that's a unique situation in the world in and of itself, maybe he's in charge of north korea. it may be that he's simply a figure head and the military...
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Mar 30, 2013
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. >> along with the threat of war, just this morning, kim jong-un threatened to shut down the caisson industrial complex, a zone of industrial plants from both north and south korea not far from the border. the park which continues to operate normally produce 470 million dollars worth of goods last year alone. south korea says the threat is quote, unhelpful to the country's already unstable relations. and yet, the young leader continues his chest-pounding rhetoric with these photos of an elaborate rocket plan to targeting both military bases, as well as cities in the u.s. it's not believed that north korea has the missile technology to strike the u.s. mainland, but it's capable of targeting neighboring countries and even selected u.s. military bases within those regions. he claims to be responding to the military drills in neighboring south korea. state department officials say the decision to send the bombers was part of the normal exercise. they're not ignoring. >> rather than threaten to abrogate or threaten to move in some direction, the world would be best served if he would dire
. >> along with the threat of war, just this morning, kim jong-un threatened to shut down the caisson industrial complex, a zone of industrial plants from both north and south korea not far from the border. the park which continues to operate normally produce 470 million dollars worth of goods last year alone. south korea says the threat is quote, unhelpful to the country's already unstable relations. and yet, the young leader continues his chest-pounding rhetoric with these photos of an...
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Mar 31, 2013
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kim jong un is trying to change that the korean workers party at the top. so the generals are not happy with that. >> heather: i wanted to ask you what we in the u.s. need to be worried about if anything at all. we statement that came from the white house. in part, along with saying north korean military unconstructed, we continue to take additional measures including the plan to increase the u.s. ground base interceptors and early warning and tracking radar and assigning a counter provocation plan. how far is the u.s. willing to go? >> i think we are going to quite far. the provocation plan that brings in the united states not just defending south korea agencies broad-based attack but against low level provocations. so it lowers the threshold what is going on in the korean peninsula. when the joint military exercises ended the end of april north korea would think of striking when our readiness returns to normal. kim jong un will strike somewhere. >> they released these pictures of map pointing out where they can hit the u.s. mainland. what do we really kno
kim jong un is trying to change that the korean workers party at the top. so the generals are not happy with that. >> heather: i wanted to ask you what we in the u.s. need to be worried about if anything at all. we statement that came from the white house. in part, along with saying north korean military unconstructed, we continue to take additional measures including the plan to increase the u.s. ground base interceptors and early warning and tracking radar and assigning a counter...
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Mar 30, 2013
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here is a picture north korea released showing president kim jong-un and his generals in what looks like some kind of a war room and on the wall a map that appears to show a diagram of missal routes targeting hawaii, los angeles, washington and austin, texas. the u.s. is now considering its next move with a country that has a long history of trouble making. elizabeth is live in washington with more. elizabeth? >> we are getting fresh reaction from the security council. a spokeswoman released a statement and in part it says we take these threats seriously and remain in contact with our south korean allies. but we would also note that north korea has a long history of rhetoric and threats. today's announcement follows that familiar pattern. she went on to say the council and the defense department remains fully prepared and capable of defending the u.s. and our allies. >> it has rach cheted up. it has ratcheted up, the danger, and we have to understand that reality. we, the united states, south koreans, all of the nations in that region of the world are committed to a pathway to peace. >>
here is a picture north korea released showing president kim jong-un and his generals in what looks like some kind of a war room and on the wall a map that appears to show a diagram of missal routes targeting hawaii, los angeles, washington and austin, texas. the u.s. is now considering its next move with a country that has a long history of trouble making. elizabeth is live in washington with more. elizabeth? >> we are getting fresh reaction from the security council. a spokeswoman...
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Apr 6, 2013
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the reason i say this is, kim jong-un, i don't know if he is able to turn this off. this time of year, north korea starts activity like this. but his father knew when to cal brate it and step it back. he could get himself out on a limb and hostilities could emerge. for instance the south korea president said if north korea carries out an attack they will retailiate. that was not the case in the past. the inspection of troops and troop movements. obama administration is doing the right thing by having b-52 and putting missile defense in guam . all of that is essential to let our allies know we will stand with them and let north korea know they will not get away with aggression. >> what would you suggest and what circumstances would you launch a preemptive strike? >> does the united states have to wait until it is attacked or south korea would be attacked. if there is overwhelming evidence that north korea will launch an attack we'll take action. i don't see that need now . secretary kerry. they are monitoring it carefully and working with the allies in south korea . w
the reason i say this is, kim jong-un, i don't know if he is able to turn this off. this time of year, north korea starts activity like this. but his father knew when to cal brate it and step it back. he could get himself out on a limb and hostilities could emerge. for instance the south korea president said if north korea carries out an attack they will retailiate. that was not the case in the past. the inspection of troops and troop movements. obama administration is doing the right thing by...